SimulatedUpdated 2m ago

Simulated P&L · This month

-$11.09

down -6.3% on $175 staked

Closed trades: 7
Agent success rate (simulated): 43%3W 4L · early days
Win streak: 0best 2
Open now (1): down -$0.60marked at bid

Early days: 7 closed trades in this window. Results swing a lot under 30. Treat this as a trial run, not a track record.

Simulated results. Paper trades only, no real money. Past and simulated results do not predict future results.

Profit factorearly days0.52Gross wins ÷ gross losses. Under 1.00 loses money.

Expectancy / tradeearly daysdown -$1.58Average simulated P&L per closed trade

Avg winearly daysup +$3.973 winning trades

Avg lossearly daysdown -$5.754 losing trades

Max drawdown▼ -$20.82Deepest peak-to-trough drop

Best tradeup +$4.33Spread: North Texas (-14.5) · Hit profit target · Oct 29

Worst tradedown -$11.27Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) · Hit stop · Oct 30

Equity curve (simulated)

Hover, tap, or use the arrow keys to inspect the curve. Times in UTC.

Agent success rate (simulated)

43%7 closed

▲ 3 wins
▼ 4 losses

Early days. 7 closed trades so far; a rate from fewer than 30 is mostly luck. Avg win $3.97 vs avg loss $5.75.

Daily simulated P&L

Tap a bar for its day. Bars below the line are losses (marked ▼).

Win rate over time (simulated)

Hover, tap, or use the arrow keys to read the rate after each trade.

Early days: the line swings hard with few trades. The dashed line is a coin flip (50%).

P&L per trade (simulated)

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3 of 7 closed in profit · average -$1.58 per trade · range -$11.27 to +$4.33

How many closed trades landed in each P&L range (vertical axis = number of trades). Green bars are gains, red bars are losses, gold straddles zero.

P&L by exit reason (simulated)

Hit profit target▲ +$11.91
3 of 3 closed green · avg +$3.97
Hit stop▼ -$23.00
0 of 4 closed green · avg -$5.75

Open now (simulated)

1 open position · ▼ -$0.60 unrealized

Marked at the current best bid. Paper money only.

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Latest trades (simulated)

Simulated paper trades, newest first. Times are UTC.
Market	Side	Entry	Now / exit	P&L	Status	Opened (UTC)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.0¢	81.0¢	down -$0.60 (-2.4%)	Open	Oct 30 00:15
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	49.0¢	35.0¢	down -$7.14 (-28.6%)	Hit stop	Oct 30 00:55
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	Cavaliers	51.0¢	28.0¢	down -$11.27 (-45.1%)	Hit stop	Oct 30 00:50
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	52.0¢	47.0¢	down -$2.40 (-9.6%)	Hit stop	Oct 30 00:40
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5	Over	45.7¢	52.0¢	up +$3.48 (+13.9%)	Hit profit target	Oct 30 00:15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	70.0¢	63.9¢	down -$2.18 (-8.7%)	Hit stop	Oct 30 00:05
Islanders vs. Wild	Wild	67.0¢	78.0¢	up +$4.10 (+16.4%)	Hit profit target	Oct 30 00:00
Spread: North Texas (-14.5)	North Texas	52.0¢	61.0¢	up +$4.33 (+17.3%)	Hit profit target	Oct 29 23:10

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?down -$0.60 (-2.4%)
NoOpen83.0¢ → 81.0¢Oct 30 00:15
Cavaliers vs. Hawksdown -$7.14 (-28.6%)
CavaliersHit stop49.0¢ → 35.0¢Oct 30 00:55
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)down -$11.27 (-45.1%)
CavaliersHit stop51.0¢ → 28.0¢Oct 30 00:50
Spread: Packers (-3.5)down -$2.40 (-9.6%)
PackersHit stop52.0¢ → 47.0¢Oct 30 00:40
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5up +$3.48 (+13.9%)
OverHit profit target45.7¢ → 52.0¢Oct 30 00:15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagedown -$2.18 (-8.7%)
Bilibili GamingHit stop70.0¢ → 63.9¢Oct 30 00:05
Islanders vs. Wildup +$4.10 (+16.4%)
WildHit profit target67.0¢ → 78.0¢Oct 30 00:00
Spread: North Texas (-14.5)up +$4.33 (+17.3%)
North TexasHit profit target52.0¢ → 61.0¢Oct 29 23:10

Simulated results. Paper trades only, no real money. Past and simulated results do not predict future results. Fills are modelled from order books at sync time; fees are not included.

Simulated results. Paper trades only, no real money. Past and simulated results do not predict future results. Fees are not modelled. Not financial advice, and not affiliated with Polymarket.